Skip to Primary Navigation Skip to Primary Content Skip to Footer Navigation

Highlighted Article: The Future of U.S. Weather Prediction Will Be Decided During the Next Month

Posted On:
Feb 6, 2020 at 6:00 AM
Category
Climate Change

From: Cliff Mass Weather Blog

By: Cliff Mass

Date: January 26, 2020

 

The Future of U.S. Weather Prediction Will Be Decided During the Next Month

 

"During the next few weeks, leadership in NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service (NWS) will make a key decision regarding the future organization of U.S. numerical weather prediction.  A decision that will determine whether U.S.  weather forecasting will remain third rate or advance to world leadership.   It is that important.

Specifically, they will define the nature of new center for the development of U.S. numerical weather prediction systems in a formal solicitation of proposals  (using something called a RFP--Request for Proposals).

This blog will describe what I believe to be the essential flaws in the way NOAA has developed its weather prediction models.  How the U.S. came to be third-rate in this area, why this is a particularly critical time with unique opportunities, and how the wrong approach will lead to continued mediocrity.

 I will explain that only profound reorganization of how NOAA develops, tests, and shares its models will be effective.  It will be a relatively long blog and, at times, somewhat technical, but there is no way around that considering the topic.  I should note that this is a topic I have written on extensively over the past several decades (including many blogs and an article in the peer-reviewed literature), given dozens of presentations at professional meeting, testified about  in Congress, and served on a number of NOAA/NWS advisory committees and National Academy panels dealing with these issues." ...

 

The Future of U.S. Weather Prediction Will Be Decided During the Next Month