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Climate Predictions

Blog Posts

Climate Models?
  • 4/30/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Our understanding of global warming and cooling is based on both paleoclimatic analysis and instrumental data. Our understanding of climate change is based on observations of temperatures, sea level changes, hurricane and tornado frequency ...

Climate Narratives - ORIGINAL CONTENT
  • 10/17/23 at 7:00 AM
  • Energy Policy,Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Several narratives have evolved around the issue of climate change. The narratives originate in the science, but focus on different aspects of the science and different interpretations of its meaning.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate...

Evidence Communication
  • 12/15/20 at 3:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

A recent article in the journal Nature suggested five fundamental rules for evidence communication which apply well to science communication, though they are not always followed, particularly in climate science.

  • Inform, not persuade
  • ...

  • 8/11/20 at 3:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid
  • factual: of or relating to facts; restricted to or based on fact (Merriam-Webster)
  • nonfactual: not relating to, concerned with or based on facts (Merriam-Webster)
  • counterfactual: contrary to fact (Merriam-Webster)
  • deceptive: tending or...

Falling into the Trap
  • 1/12/21 at 3:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Numerous individuals and organizations, including Clintel and the Copenhagen Consensus Center, have calculated the potential effect of US CO2 emissions reductions on global average temperatures or temperature anomalies in the future. These ...

ISO Damage Standard
  • 7/30/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The International Organization for Standards (ISO) promulgates a broad range of standards developed by one or more of its 163 national members and agreed to by the membership. Companies globally are encouraged to adopt these standards in ...

Know/Imagine/Project - ORIGINAL CONTENT
  • 10/31/23 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

1a(1) : to perceive directly : have direct cognition of
2a : to be aware of the truth or factuality of : be convinced or certain of

1: to form a mental image of (something not present)
2: suppose, guess
3: to form a notion ...

Theory and Experiment - ORIGINAL CONTENT
  • 10/11/22 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Observing and analyzing climate and climate change is an interesting experiment. The experimentalist can establish the events and characteristics to be observed and/or measured, the timing of the start of the observation period and the ...

  • 5/17/22 at 7:00 AM
  • Energy Policy,Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Definition of uncertain (Merriam-Webster)

1a : not known beyond doubt : dubious an uncertain claim
b : not having certain knowledge : doubtful remains uncertain about her plans
c : not clearly identified or defined a fire of uncertain ...

Weather and Climate
  • 10/15/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Weather changes on all time scales. Some weather changes are predictable in general terms: summer will be relatively warm; winter will be relatively cool. This change occurs every year, driven by the seasonal change in the angle of ...

  • 5/23/23 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The consensed climate science community has created a narrative that anthropogenic emissions of CO2, CH4 and N2O are causing additional heat to be retained in the earth’s atmosphere, that this additional heat is increasing the global ...