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Climate Models

Blog Posts

2022 Year in Review - ORIGINAL CONTENT

therightinsight.org/2022-Year-in-Review
  • 12/27/22 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Climate science focuses on two fundamental issues: the current status of the changed climate; and, projections of future changes in the climate. The science is not “settled” regarding either of these issues.

The key aspects of ...

Asymptotes

therightinsight.org/Asymptotes
  • 7/24/18 at 8:19 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Atmospheric physics establishes that the impact of incremental additions of CO2 to the earth’s atmosphere approaches zero asymptotically, as shown in the graph below.

Heating Effect of CO2

This means that any increase in the global average surface ...

Barely Measurable?

therightinsight.org/Barely-Measurable
  • 8/6/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Several recent media articles have suggested that even if the US adopted the Green New Deal, or somevariant thereof, which reduced or eliminated US CO2 emissions, the impact on global warming would be “barely measurable”. These ...

Climate and Climate Model Observations

therightinsight.org/Climate-and-Climate-Model-Observations
  • 5/8/18 at 7:08 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

“Anybody having to make a decision about climate science needs to understand the full spectrum of what we know and what we don’t know.” Dr. Steven E. Koonin, former Under Secretary for Science, U.S. Department of Energy

&...

Climate Change 2017 Year in Review

therightinsight.org/Climate-Change-2017-Year-in-Review
  • 12/19/17 at 6:21 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The year 2017 was a good year regarding climate change in the US, at least from the perspective of this skeptic. The US inaugurated a President with a healthy skepticism regarding CAGW (catastrophic anthropogenic global warming) and climate...

Climate Change Attribution

therightinsight.org/Climate-Change-Attribution
  • 6/5/18 at 6:15 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Earth’s climate system is extremely complex, chaotic and not particularly well understood. The factors which have caused climate change over the past millennia continue to cause climate change today and will likely continue to cause ...

Climate Change Dissonance - ORIGINAL CONTENT

therightinsight.org/Climate-Change-Dissonance
  • 9/19/23 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

 

Dissonance: lack of agreement (the dissonance between the truth and what people want [you] to believe) – Merriam-Webster

Statements of UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres regarding climate change:

  • Latest IPCC climate ...

Climate Change Perversion

therightinsight.org/Climate-Change-Perversion
  • 12/12/17 at 6:32 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

“Climate Change Skepticism is “Perverse”, Pope Francis

Perverse: turned away from what is right or good: corrupt (Merriam-Webster)

There is ample historical evidence for climate change. Therefore, while false skepticism ...

Climate Change: “Predictions are hard …”

therightinsight.org/Climate-Change-Predictions-are-hard
  • 5/29/18 at 6:52 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

            “Predictions are hard, especially about the future.” Yogi Berra, American philosopher

The consensed climate science community and its animated spokespersons ...

Climate Model Musings

therightinsight.org/Climate-Model-Musings
  • 10/19/21 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

 

Much has been written about the tendency of current climate models to overestimate recent warming and thus their unfitness to accurately project future warming. The graphs below, prepared by Dr. John Christy, illustrate this ...

Climate Models

therightinsight.org/Climate-Models-258
  • 4/13/21 at 3:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The concerns expressed about future global warming are all based on the outputs of numerous global climate Models (GCMs). The graph below, prepared by Dr. John Christy, illustrates the range of variation of the numerous model outputs, ...

Climate Models vs. Observations

therightinsight.org/Climate-Models-vs-Observations
  • 5/28/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The concern regarding potential catastrophic anthropogenic climate change is based upon projected future conditions produced by unverified climate models driven by uncertain climate sensitivity, feedbacks and forcings. Therefore, it is ...

Climate Models?

therightinsight.org/Climate-Models
  • 4/30/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Our understanding of global warming and cooling is based on both paleoclimatic analysis and instrumental data. Our understanding of climate change is based on observations of temperatures, sea level changes, hurricane and tornado frequency ...

Climate Priorities 2019

therightinsight.org/Climate-Priorities-2019
  • 1/3/19 at 5:48 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

There continue to be four fundamental climate science research priorities:

  • accurate and comprehensive temperature measurements;
  • accurate climate sensitivity determination;
  • accurate feedback magnitude determination; and,
  • a verified, ...

Climate Refugees

therightinsight.org/Climate-Refugees
  • 11/9/21 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Refugees have fled from war, persecution, poverty, famine and pestilence over the ages. However, there is no documented record of refugees fleeing climate change, though a single resident of Tuvalu attempted to have himself accepted as a ...

Climate Research Priorities

therightinsight.org/Climate-Research-Priorities
  • 7/25/17 at 7:01 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Tracking changes in Earth’s climate is important. Climate change measurement is a unique challenge, because the experiment is ongoing, as it has for billions of years. Also, the experiment cannot be rerun if there is a measurement ...

Climate Science “The time has come, …”

therightinsight.org/Climate-Science-The-time-has-come
  • 3/21/17 at 7:50 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Climate science is important. Climate science is a mess. Climate science must be fixed. The new Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator and the soon to be appointed new National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and ...

Climate Security Panel

therightinsight.org/Climate-Security-Panel
  • 6/4/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Elements of the consensed climate science community, the consensed climate change commentariat and numerous environmental activist groups have recently been “triggered” by Administration discussions regarding the formation of a ...

Climate Sensitivity

therightinsight.org/Climate-Sensitivity
  • 11/6/18 at 5:44 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

 

Elements of the consensed climate science community have recently acknowledged that the projections of future global average near-surface temperature anomalies produced by the CMIP5 ensemble of climate models are 2-3 times higher ...

Diminishing Impact of Increased CO2

therightinsight.org/Diminishing-Impact-of-Increased-CO2
  • 11/21/17 at 7:26 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

“It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are.  If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong.” --Richard P. Feynman

The impact of incremental increases in ...

Factual?

therightinsight.org/Factual
  • 8/11/20 at 3:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid
  • factual: of or relating to facts; restricted to or based on fact (Merriam-Webster)
  • nonfactual: not relating to, concerned with or based on facts (Merriam-Webster)
  • counterfactual: contrary to fact (Merriam-Webster)
  • deceptive: tending or...

Hansen Revisited – Were the Climate Models Right?

therightinsight.org/Hansen-Revisited-Were-the-Climate-Models-Right
  • 9/19/17 at 7:33 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The World Meteorological Organization typically defines climate as average weather over a period of 30 years. In climate science, then, it is useful to compare observed weather over a 30 year period with the scenarios of future climate ...

IPCC Confidence Game

therightinsight.org/IPCC-Confidence-Game
  • 9/14/21 at 5:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Definition of confidence (Entry 1 of 2)

: a feeling or consciousness of one's powers or of reliance on one's circumstances

Definition of confidence (Entry 2 of 2)

: of, relating to, or adept at swindling by false promises

IPCC ...

Irreproducibility and Climate Science (NAS)

therightinsight.org/Irreproducibility-and-Climate-Science
  • 5/22/18 at 8:25 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

REPRINT (with permission) from National Association of Scholars (NAS)

Edward A. Reid, Jr. has fifty years of experience in the energy industry in technical research and development, market development, marketing and consulting. He writes ...

Is CO2 the God of Weather?

therightinsight.org/Is-CO2-the-God-of-Weather
  • 6/27/17 at 10:09 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Many ancient cultures attributed the significant events occurring around them to the “gods”. Some had individual gods for each type of event. Many had religious ceremonies created to appeal to or to appease the various gods. In ...

ISO Damage Standard

therightinsight.org/ISO-Damage-Standard
  • 7/30/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The International Organization for Standards (ISO) promulgates a broad range of standards developed by one or more of its 163 national members and agreed to by the membership. Companies globally are encouraged to adopt these standards in ...

Midwest Farming

therightinsight.org/Midwest-Farming
  • 11/16/21 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

A major concern regarding climate change is its potential future impact on food production, resulting from increasing temperatures and changes in precipitation. Experiments can demonstrate the effects of varying temperatures and ...

Models and “Crises”

therightinsight.org/Models-and-Crises
  • 6/30/20 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Numerous professions develop and apply models to project how a process of interest to them might change in the future as the result of process maturation or the effects of external perturbations. The utility of these models is a function of...

More Climate Issues 2019

therightinsight.org/More-Climate-Issues-2019
  • 1/8/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Climate Priorities 2019 focused on issues related to measurement and modeling of the earth’s climate: temperature measurement, climate sensitivity, forcings and feedbacks, and, model verification. These issues are a priority for 2019,...

Nature Intervenes - ORIGINAL CONTENT

therightinsight.org/Nature-Intervenes
  • 10/24/23 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Nature has intervened in the climate change narrative in a major way with the eruption of the Hunga-Tonga (HT) volcano on the South Pacific seabed. The eruption has experienced minimal exposure in the media because it did not result in ...

Parsing The Washington Post on Climate

therightinsight.org/Parsing-The-Washington-Post-on-Climate
  • 8/28/18 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The Washington Post recently published an article entitled: Climate change is supercharging a hot and dangerous summer. The article has since also appeared in The Times-Picayune in New Orleans. The article is based on numerous broad, ...

Pyramid or Scheme

therightinsight.org/Pyramid-or-Scheme
  • 12/27/18 at 6:01 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

A pyramid is an inherently stable structure built upon a broad base which tapers toward a point at its top. A pyramid scheme is an inherently unstable structure built upon a point and expanding to a broad top.

Pyramid Scheme

Perhaps the most famous ...

Replication and Climate Science

therightinsight.org/Replication-and-Climate-Science
  • 7/10/18 at 5:45 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

One of the potential approaches to dealing with the Irreproducibility Crisis of Modern Science is replication of the experiment. Replication of an experiment is far more expensive than merely attempting to reproduce the results of an ...

Signal / Noise Ratio (Climate Change)

therightinsight.org/Signal-Noise-Ratio-Climate-Change
  • 4/28/20 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

 

“Signal-to-noise ratio (abbreviated SNR or S/N) is a measure used in science and engineering that compares the level of a desired signal to the level of background noise.”, everything.explained.today

 

Previous ...

Theory and Experiment - ORIGINAL CONTENT

therightinsight.org/Theory-and-Experiment
  • 10/11/22 at 7:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

Observing and analyzing climate and climate change is an interesting experiment. The experimentalist can establish the events and characteristics to be observed and/or measured, the timing of the start of the observation period and the ...

USA Climate Priorities

therightinsight.org/USA-Climate-Priorities
  • 8/20/19 at 6:00 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

The UNFCCC, the consensed climate science community and the environmental community assert that the USA should assume the mantle of climate change leadership and prioritize CO2 emissions reductions and financial transfers to the UN Green ...

What We Know About Climate Change

therightinsight.org/What-We-Know-About-Climate-Change
  • 5/15/18 at 7:06 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

“Anybody having to make a decision about climate science needs to understand the full spectrum of what we know and what we don’t know.” Dr. Steven E. Koonin, former Under Secretary for Science, U.S. Department of Energy

...

Who Stole My Warming – Problems With the Models

therightinsight.org/Who-Stole-My-Warming-Problems-With-the-Models
  • 9/12/17 at 6:32 AM
  • Climate Change
  • Ed Reid

 “It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong.” Richard P. Feynman

“Over 95% of climate models agree: the ...